Western Mich
W-L: (27-11) PR = 99.6899Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1009 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 2- 3 1010 H Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 6- 4 1017 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 2- 1 1018 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 6- 0 1023 H Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 0- 4 1024 A Michigan B10 (29- 8, 99.9) 5- 2 1031 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 6- 5 1101 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 1- 5 1107 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 1- 3 1108 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 3- 6 1114 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 5- 2 1115 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 6- 2 1121 H Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 7- 2 1122 H Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 4- 2 1205 A Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 1- 4 1206 A Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 3- 2 1228 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 5- 3 1229 H Wisconsin B10 (25-12, 99.1) 4- 1 102 H Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 0 103 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 0 109 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 4- 1 110 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 6- 2 123 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 4- 3 124 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 4- 3 130 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 5- 2 131 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 1- 4 206 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 2- 3 207 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 3- 1 213 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 6- 2 214 A Arizona St HE (15-22, 97.8) 7- 2 220 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 1- 1 221 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 2- 0 227 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 228 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 3 306 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 5- 2 307 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 2- 1 314 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 1- 2 327 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 3- 1 328 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 2- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1009 A Ferris St 2- 3 -1 3 -- -4.13
1010 H Ferris St 6- 4 2 3 -1.15
1017 H UMass Lowell 2- 1 1 3 -1.60
1018 H UMass Lowell 6- 0 6 3 + 3.40
1023 H Michigan 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.82
1024 A Michigan 5- 2 3 0 + 3.20
1031 H St Cloud St 6- 5 1 1 -0.34
1101 H St Cloud St 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.34
1107 A Denver 1- 3 -2 0 -1.78
1108 A Denver 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.78
1114 A Miami 5- 2 3 2 1.49
1115 A Miami 6- 2 4 2 + 2.49
1121 H Omaha 7- 2 5 2 + 3.05
1122 H Omaha 4- 2 2 2 0.05
1205 A Minn Duluth 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.42
1206 A Minn Duluth 3- 2 1 0 0.58
1228 A Boston Col 5- 3 2 1 0.81
1229 H Wisconsin 4- 1 3 1 + 2.39
102 H Notre Dame 4- 0 4 3 1.49
103 A Notre Dame 4- 0 4 2 1.51
109 H Denver 4- 1 3 0 + 3.20
110 H Denver 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.20
123 H Minn Duluth 4- 3 1 0 0.56
124 H Minn Duluth 4- 3 1 0 0.56
130 A Omaha 5- 2 3 2 1.07
131 A Omaha 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.93
206 H Miami 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.53
207 H Miami 3- 1 2 2 0.47
213 A Arizona St 6- 2 4 2 + 2.08
214 A Arizona St 7- 2 5 2 + 3.08
220 H Colorado Col 1- 1 0 1 -1.14
221 H Colorado Col 2- 0 2 1 0.86
227 A North Dakota 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.09
228 A North Dakota 4- 3 1 0 0.91
306 A Colorado Col 5- 2 3 1 1.88
307 A Colorado Col 2- 1 1 1 -0.12
314 H Denver 1- 2 -1 0 -0.80
327 A Minn St 3- 1 2 2 0.44
328 A Denver 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.78
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1009 A Ferris St 2- 3 -1 3 -- -4.13 1101 H St Cloud St 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.34 131 A Omaha 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.93 1023 H Michigan 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.82 1108 A Denver 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.78 1205 A Minn Duluth 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.42 206 H Miami 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.53 227 A North Dakota 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.09 328 A Denver 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.78 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 H Denver 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.20 1018 H UMass Lowell 6- 0 6 3 + 3.40 1024 A Michigan 5- 2 3 0 + 3.20 1115 A Miami 6- 2 4 2 + 2.49 1121 H Omaha 7- 2 5 2 + 3.05 1229 H Wisconsin 4- 1 3 1 + 2.39 109 H Denver 4- 1 3 0 + 3.20 213 A Arizona St 6- 2 4 2 + 2.08 214 A Arizona St 7- 2 5 2 + 3.08 |
Western Mich Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Western Mich | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | Western Mich | |
| Army | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Bentley | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Western Mich | |
| Canisius | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Holy Cross | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Mercyhurst | Western Mich | Western Mich 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Niagara | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| RIT | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Western Mich | |
| Rob Morris | Western Mich | Western Mich 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sacred Heart | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Western Mich | Western Mich 4- 2 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Minnesota | Western Mich | Western Mich 5- 3 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Notre Dame | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Ohio State | Western Mich | Western Mich 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Penn State | Western Mich | Western Mich 4- 2 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Wisconsin | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Augustana | Augustana | Augustana 5- 1 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Bemidji St | Western Mich | Western Mich 3- 3 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Bowl Green | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Western Mich | |
| Ferris St | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Western Mich | |
| L Superor | Western Mich | Western Mich 3- 1 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Mich Tech | Western Mich | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Western Mich | |
| Minn St | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| No Mich | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 3) | Western Mich | |
| St. Thomas | Western Mich | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Western Mich | |
| Alaska | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Western Mich | |
| Alaska Anch | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 4) | Western Mich | |
| Lindenwood | Western Mich | Western Mich 4- 3 vs 2- 3 | ||
| LIU | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Stonehill | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Brown | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Clarkson | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) | Western Mich | |
| Colgate | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Cornell | Western Mich | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Western Mich | |
| Dartmouth | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Western Mich | |
| Harvard | Western Mich | Western Mich 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Princeton | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Quinnipiac | Western Mich | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Western Mich | |
| RPI | Western Mich | Western Mich 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| St Lawrence | Western Mich | Western Mich 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Union | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Western Mich | |
| Yale | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Western Mich | |
| Boston Col | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Boston Univ | Western Mich | Western Mich 2- 0 vs 0- 0 | ||
| Connecticut | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) | Western Mich | |
| Maine | Western Mich | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Western Mich | |
| UMass | Western Mich | Western Mich 3- 0 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Merrimack | Western Mich | Western Mich 3- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| New Hamp | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) | Western Mich | |
| Northeastern | Western Mich | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Western Mich | |
| Providence | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Western Mich | |
| UMass Lowell | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Vermont | Western Mich | Western Mich 3- 1 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Arizona St | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Colorado Col | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Miami | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| Minn Duluth | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| North Dakota | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 1) | Western Mich | |
| Omaha | Western Mich | Western Mich | ||
| St Cloud St | Western Mich | Western Mich 4- 2 vs 1- 4 |
PowerWise = 59
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 2- 3 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.93 -1.56
1 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 6- 4 -3.35 1.30 -0.01 0.93 2.39
1 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 2- 1 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 0.93 3.42
1 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 6- 0 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 0.93 3.42
1 H Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 0- 4 -0.02 4.63 -0.01 0.93 -0.01
1 A Michigan (29- 8, 99.9) 5- 2 -0.02 4.63 0.01 0.93 8.64
1 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 6- 5 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 0.93 5.76
1 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 1- 5 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 0.93 -0.72
1 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 1- 3 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.93 -0.00
1 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 3- 6 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.93 -0.00
1 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 5- 2 -1.73 2.92 0.01 0.93 5.46
1 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 6- 2 -1.73 2.92 0.01 0.93 5.46
1 H Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 7- 2 -2.15 2.49 -0.01 0.93 4.62
1 H Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 4- 2 -2.15 2.49 -0.01 0.93 4.62
1 A Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 1- 4 -0.64 4.01 0.01 0.93 -0.29
1 A Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 3- 2 -0.64 4.01 0.01 0.93 7.49
1 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 5- 3 -1.41 3.24 0.01 0.93 6.05
1 H Wisconsin (25-12, 99.1) 4- 1 -0.81 3.84 -0.01 0.93 7.12
1 H Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 0 -2.71 1.94 -0.01 0.93 3.59
1 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 0 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.93 3.62
1 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 4- 1 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 0.93 8.63
1 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 6- 2 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 0.93 8.63
1 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 4- 3 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 0.93 7.45
1 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 4- 3 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 0.93 7.45
1 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 5- 2 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.93 4.66
1 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 1- 4 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.93 -1.00
1 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 2- 3 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.93 -0.81
1 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 3- 1 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.93 5.42
1 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 6- 2 -2.14 2.51 0.01 0.93 4.69
1 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 7- 2 -2.14 2.51 0.01 0.93 4.69
1 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 1 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.93 0.00
1 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 0 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.93 6.14
1 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 -0.31 4.34 0.01 0.93 -0.14
1 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 3 -0.31 4.34 0.01 0.93 8.09
1 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 5- 2 -1.34 3.31 0.01 0.93 6.17
1 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 1 -1.34 3.31 0.01 0.93 6.17
1 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 1- 2 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 0.93 -0.00
1 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 3- 1 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.93 5.35
1 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 2- 6 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.93 -0.00
------
150.65
|
winning pts = 155.1997 losing points = -4.5457
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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